The
BSA sponsored IDC study supplies a lot of detail on how bad piracy is, and spends a great deal of time quoting comparative rates etc. However it does not show how this info was actually obtained short of saying that installed software value was compared with sold software value.
In an
opinion published on ITWEB's site, Venter inquires into how it is possible, given the massive distribution of software, and extensive privacy protection afforded by the constitution, for even
remotely accurate figures to have been obtained here.
For example the study suggests that 5,600 interviews were conducted in some 15 countries to obtain the data. Logically, what, short of indemnity from prosecution and voluntary waiver of privacy rights, would make a person declare pirated goods? And what makes an interviewed person typical of a group in a society? Given the variance in social norms from society to society, this relationship would need to be researched in every society where samples are interviewed. And as is mentioned above, this is not the sort of thing that many people would feel comfortable talking about. Obviously massive portions of society were not interviewed. And it is over this non-interviewed portion that real issues with accuracy arise.
Furthermore, logic applied based on statistics of alleged piracy can be questioned. For example, the study suggests that once piracy is eliminated, pirates will purchase software they otherwise would have stolen. An important aspect of piracy that needs to be remembered is that in many cases it seems that pirates do not regard the software they steal to be worth what is asked for it. To recover market from pirates therefore does not suggest that pirates will then purchase the software that they otherwise may have stolen or for that matter follow any retail software market trend.
Venter concludes in the article suggesting that the BSA has a tough job to do, but that they stand to lose a lot of credibility by glossing over the data acquisition process which forms the crux of their study.
These opinions were published
here.